A note on methodological fallacies in the "X% fallacy" literature.

C. E. McConnel

doi:10.2190/BCM0-BH5N-5PF5-L8YD

A note on methodological fallacies in the "X% fallacy" literature.

C. E. McConnel

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article

Abstract

This article demonstrates that the numerical estimate of an approximately 25 percent risk of nursing home institutionalization reported in the "4-5% fallacy" literature is based on an invalid set of implicit assumptions. Using the most recent national level statistics on nursing home residency and discharge, a measurement technique is introduced to provide an estimate of the maximum and minimum number of nursing home residents in 1976, and a corresponding range for the annualized risk of institutionalization between 6 and 9 percent, within which the true risk must lie.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	57-69
Number of pages	13
Journal	International journal of aging & human development
Volume	17
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.2190/BCM0-BH5N-5PF5-L8YD
State	Published - 1983

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Aging
Developmental and Educational Psychology
Geriatrics and Gerontology

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