This article demonstrates that the numerical estimate of an approximately 25 percent risk of nursing home institutionalization reported in the "4-5% fallacy" literature is based on an invalid set of implicit assumptions. Using the most recent national level statistics on nursing home residency and discharge, a measurement technique is introduced to provide an estimate of the maximum and minimum number of nursing home residents in 1976, and a corresponding range for the annualized risk of institutionalization between 6 and 9 percent, within which the true risk must lie.
|Original language||English (US)|
|Number of pages||13|
|Journal||International journal of aging & human development|
|State||Published - 1983|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Developmental and Educational Psychology
- Geriatrics and Gerontology