Abstract
This article demonstrates that the numerical estimate of an approximately 25 percent risk of nursing home institutionalization reported in the "4-5% fallacy" literature is based on an invalid set of implicit assumptions. Using the most recent national level statistics on nursing home residency and discharge, a measurement technique is introduced to provide an estimate of the maximum and minimum number of nursing home residents in 1976, and a corresponding range for the annualized risk of institutionalization between 6 and 9 percent, within which the true risk must lie.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 57-69 |
| Number of pages | 13 |
| Journal | International Journal of Aging and Human Development |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| State | Published - 1983 |
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ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Aging
- Developmental and Educational Psychology
- Geriatrics and Gerontology
Cite this
A note on methodological fallacies in the "X% fallacy" literature. / McConnel, C. E.
In: International Journal of Aging and Human Development, Vol. 17, No. 1, 1983, p. 57-69.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - A note on methodological fallacies in the "X% fallacy" literature.
AU - McConnel, C. E.
PY - 1983
Y1 - 1983
N2 - This article demonstrates that the numerical estimate of an approximately 25 percent risk of nursing home institutionalization reported in the "4-5% fallacy" literature is based on an invalid set of implicit assumptions. Using the most recent national level statistics on nursing home residency and discharge, a measurement technique is introduced to provide an estimate of the maximum and minimum number of nursing home residents in 1976, and a corresponding range for the annualized risk of institutionalization between 6 and 9 percent, within which the true risk must lie.
AB - This article demonstrates that the numerical estimate of an approximately 25 percent risk of nursing home institutionalization reported in the "4-5% fallacy" literature is based on an invalid set of implicit assumptions. Using the most recent national level statistics on nursing home residency and discharge, a measurement technique is introduced to provide an estimate of the maximum and minimum number of nursing home residents in 1976, and a corresponding range for the annualized risk of institutionalization between 6 and 9 percent, within which the true risk must lie.
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UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0020989279&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
VL - 17
SP - 57
EP - 69
JO - International Journal of Aging and Human Development
JF - International Journal of Aging and Human Development
SN - 0091-4150
IS - 1
ER -