Increased short- and long-term mortality at low-volume pediatric heart transplant centers: Should minimum standards be set?: Retrospective data analysis

Ryan R Davies, Mark J. Russo, Kimberly N. Hong, Seema Mital, Ralph S. Mosca, Jan M. Quaegebeur, Jonathan M. Chen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

36 Scopus citations


Objective: The relationship between volume and outcome in many complex surgical procedures is well established. Background: No published data has examined this relationship in pediatric cardiac transplantation, but low-volume adult heart transplant programs seem to have higher early mortality. Methods: The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) provided centerspecific data for the 4647 transplants performed on patients younger than 19 years old, 1992 to 2007. Patients were stratified into 3 groups based on the volume of transplants performed in the previous 5 years at that center: low [<19 transplants, n = 1135 (24.4%)], medium [19-62 transplants, n = 2321 (50.0%)], and high [=63 transplants, n= 1191 (25.6%)]. A logistic regression model for postoperative mortality was developed and observed-to-expected (O:E) mortality rates calculated for each group. Results: Unadjusted long-term survival decreased with decreasing center volume (P<0.0001).Observed postoperative mortalitywas higher than expected at low-volume centers [O:E ratio 1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05- 1.83]. At low volume centers, high-risk patients (1.34, 0.85-2.12)-especially patients 1 year old or younger (1.60, 1.07-2.40) or those with congenital heart disease (1.36, 0.94-1.96)-did poorly, but those at high-volume centers did well (congenital heart disease: 0.90, 0.36-1.26; age<1 year: 0.75, 0.51-1.09). Similar results were obtained in the subset of patients transplanted after 1996. In multivariate logistic regression modeling, transplantation at a low-volume center was associated with an odds ratio for postoperative mortality of 1.60 (95% CI, 1.14-2.24); transplantation at a medium volume center had an odds ratio of 1.24 (95% CI, 0.92-1.66). Conclusion: The volume of transplants performed at any one center has a significant impact on outcomes. Regionalization of care is one option for improving outcomes in pediatric cardiac transplantation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)393-401
Number of pages9
JournalAnnals of Surgery
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Feb 1 2011


ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Surgery

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